Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.169173 2.266249 2.366801 2.479031 2.601158 2.730436 2.878167
2025-11-30 2.004320 2.139619 2.285398 2.455229 2.649058 2.865131 3.126746
2025-12-07 1.867904 2.025934 2.201311 2.412513 2.662955 2.954465 3.325721
2025-12-14 1.742458 1.912131 2.104622 2.342385 2.632929 2.983190 3.448722
2025-12-21 1.681765 1.866681 2.081058 2.352687 2.695056 3.123442 3.720209
2025-12-28 1.641573 1.841232 2.077396 2.383934 2.782088 3.299159 4.055549
2026-01-04 1.570026 1.773260 2.016905 2.338387 2.764760 3.333361 4.195675
2026-01-11 1.531234 1.742662 1.999918 2.345653 2.815232 3.461118 4.484099
2026-01-18 1.505045 1.725780 1.998350 2.371525 2.890937 3.629071 4.855057
2026-01-25 1.463309 1.687127 1.966505 2.354303 2.904136 3.705450 5.087887
2026-02-01 1.416465 1.639957 1.921251 2.315898 2.883623 3.727860 5.230518
2026-02-08 1.354816 1.571723 1.845818 2.232355 2.792364 3.633450 5.154168
2026-02-15 1.316743 1.535560 1.814968 2.214404 2.804134 3.714024 5.432214
2026-02-22 1.286920 1.509274 1.796434 2.213143 2.841474 3.841162 5.828636
2026-03-01 1.249698 1.471937 1.761448 2.186465 2.838016 3.900523 6.105414
2026-03-08 1.204954 1.423145 1.708968 2.131729 2.786872 3.872878 6.193533
2026-03-15 1.185932 1.407897 1.701719 2.142518 2.839931 4.033576 6.739842
2026-03-22 1.173761 1.401244 1.705824 2.169981 2.921662 4.256555 7.508746
2026-03-29 1.141163 1.365755 1.668018 2.131949 2.891402 4.263805 7.727893
2026-04-05 1.124559 1.351542 1.659673 2.138358 2.936520 4.423275 8.424212
2026-04-12 1.113716 1.344795 1.661542 2.160393 3.009987 4.650212 9.431583
2026-04-19 1.092596 1.323104 1.640969 2.145873 3.017372 4.739290 10.040009
2026-04-26 1.067288 1.294896 1.609997 2.113336 2.989902 4.749094 10.375044